Melbourne Health and Fitness blog

 

30°C at 6am in Spring in Melbourne, High overnight temperature, Global warming? Spoke with Climate Meteorologist

Well this morning at our Melbourne Boot camp it was 30 degrees at 6am, normally having a high overnight temperature would be rare for summer, net alone spring, anything to do with Global warming?

I recieved some interesting statistics from Climate Meteorologist, Dr Harvey Stern, Victoria Climate Services Centre Bureau of Meteorology:
*11.1°C: The average minimum temperature for November since records began
*26.3°C The previously warmest over night temperature in 1902, the average minimum temperature for November 1902 12.1
*28.1°C Warmest overnight temperature today, 19/11/09, the average minimum temperature for November 2009 to date 15.9°C

So not quite a normal cycle as the average minimum to date is significantly higher with the warmest average over night temperature being significantly higher with warmer temperatures expected for the next 2 weeks.

The next 50 years will be interesting as the Global temperature has increased 0.76°C from the mid 1850s through to 2005 which is nearly twice the rate for the past 100 years.

It’s a little difficult to predict the changes of a situation we have never experienced before, I liken it to predicting in the 1980’s when the Motorola “Brick” phone was introduced that we would be surfing the internet on “smart” phones. It is a quantum leap as the internet was not used by the general population and no body predicted that anything other than making phone calls would be introduced in the future.

Climate change will create new systems that currently don’t exist or develope more rapidly than we anticipate as did the mobile phone.

So while having warmer weather during our winters may be great for exercising outdoors, the long term effects of having a high overnight temperature in spring are a little worrying.

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